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How Much Will China Weigh? Perspectives from Consumption Structure and Technology Development

Authors: Ming Xu; Tianzhu Zhang; Braden Allenby;

How Much Will China Weigh? Perspectives from Consumption Structure and Technology Development

Abstract

Current patterns and future possibilities of China's material metabolism are evaluated from perspectives of consumption structure change and technology development using the approach of input-output modeling to integrate ecological and economic systems. A physical input monetary output (PIMO) model is created and is applied to the Chinese economy with 43 sectors and 25 material categories. A set of scenarios, five exploring aspects of consumption structure change and three doing the same for technology development, is analyzed to quantitatively predict China's future possible material metabolism patterns in 2010. The results provide a foundation for quantitative studies of resource consumption and waste generation in China, which given its increasing pivotal role in manufacturing is also helpful for research on the material metabolism of the entire world.

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Keywords

China, Conservation of Natural Resources, Fossil Fuels, Technology, Public Policy, Waste Disposal, Fluid, Air Pollutants, Minerals, Water, Refuse Disposal, Models, Economic, Metals, Water Pollutants, Chemical

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    34
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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Found an issue? Give us feedback
citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
34
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%