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Geophysical Research Letters
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Geophysical Research Letters
Article . 2024
Data sources: DOAJ
https://doi.org/10.22541/essoa...
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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Projected Global Temperature Changes After Net Zero Are Small But Significant

Authors: Alexander R Borowiak; Andrew David King; Josephine R. Brown; Christopher David Jones; Tilo Ziehn; Malte Alexander Meinshausen; Liam Cassidy;

Projected Global Temperature Changes After Net Zero Are Small But Significant

Abstract

AbstractAs more countries make net zero greenhouse gas emissions pledges, it is crucial to understand the effects on global climate after achieving net zero emissions. The climate has been found to continue to evolve even after the abrupt cessation of CO2 emissions, with some models simulating a small warming and others simulating a small cooling. In this study, we analyze if the temperature and precipitation changes post abrupt cessation of CO2 emissions are significantly different compared to natural climate variations. We find that the temperature changes are outside of natural variability for most models, whilst the precipitation changes are mostly non‐significant. We also demonstrate that post‐net zero temperature changes have implications for the remaining carbon budget. The possibility of further global warming post‐net zero adds to the evidence supporting more rapid emissions reductions in the near‐term.

Keywords

net zero, QC801-809, Geophysics. Cosmic physics, climate change, ZECMIP, Paris agreement

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
gold