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The impact of climate change on photovoltaic power generation in Europe

AbstractAmbitious climate change mitigation plans call for a significant increase in the use of renewables, which could, however, make the supply system more vulnerable to climate variability and changes. Here we evaluate climate change impacts on solar photovoltaic (PV) power in Europe using the recent EURO-CORDEX ensemble of high-resolution climate projections together with a PV power production model and assuming a well-developed European PV power fleet. Results indicate that the alteration of solar PV supply by the end of this century compared with the estimations made under current climate conditions should be in the range (−14%;+2%), with the largest decreases in Northern countries. Temporal stability of power generation does not appear as strongly affected in future climate scenarios either, even showing a slight positive trend in Southern countries. Therefore, despite small decreases in production expected in some parts of Europe, climate change is unlikely to threaten the European PV sector.
- Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute Netherlands
- French National Centre for Scientific Research France
- Max Planck Institute of Neurobiology Germany
- Laboratoire Parole et Langage France
- CEA LETI France
[SDE] Environmental Sciences, 550, MODELS, IMPROVEMENT, 551, 333, Article, ENERGY, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, TEMPERATURE, [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, [SDU.OCEAN] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, OUTDOOR PERFORMANCE, [SDU.ENVI] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, Climate Science, OUTPUT, CORDEX, PROJECTIONS, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, CELLS, MODULES, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, Klimatvetenskap
[SDE] Environmental Sciences, 550, MODELS, IMPROVEMENT, 551, 333, Article, ENERGY, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, TEMPERATURE, [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, [SDU.OCEAN] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, OUTDOOR PERFORMANCE, [SDU.ENVI] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, Climate Science, OUTPUT, CORDEX, PROJECTIONS, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, CELLS, MODULES, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, Klimatvetenskap
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).297 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 0.1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 1% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
