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Nature Climate Change
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Alternative pathways to the 1.5 °C target reduce the need for negative emission technologies

Authors: Harmen Sytze de Boer; Harmen Sytze de Boer; David L. Bijl; Mathijs Harmsen; Mathijs Harmsen; David E.H.J. Gernaat; David E.H.J. Gernaat; +13 Authors

Alternative pathways to the 1.5 °C target reduce the need for negative emission technologies

Abstract

Mitigation scenarios that achieve the ambitious targets included in the Paris Agreement typically rely on greenhouse gas emission reductions combined with net carbon dioxide removal (CDR) from the atmosphere, mostly accomplished through large-scale application of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage, and afforestation. However, CDR strategies face several difficulties such as reliance on underground CO2 storage and competition for land with food production and biodiversity protection. The question arises whether alternative deep mitigation pathways exist. Here, using an integrated assessment model, we explore the impact of alternative pathways that include lifestyle change, additional reduction of non-CO2 greenhouse gases and more rapid electrification of energy demand based on renewable energy. Although these alternatives also face specific difficulties, they are found to significantly reduce the need for CDR, but not fully eliminate it. The alternatives offer a means to diversify transition pathways to meet the Paris Agreement targets, while simultaneously benefiting other sustainability goals.

Countries
Netherlands, Italy
Keywords

Climate Change, Socioeconomics scenarios, Environmental Science (miscellaneous), Taverne, SDG 13 - Climate Action, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, SDG 2 - Zero Hunger, Climate-change mitigation, Energy Modelling, Social Sciences (miscellaneous), SDG 15 - Life on Land

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    535
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 0.1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 1%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 0.1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
535
Top 0.1%
Top 1%
Top 0.1%
Green
bronze