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Projections of multiple climate-related coastal hazards for the US Southeast Atlantic

Authors: Patrick L. Barnard; Kevin M. Befus; Jeffrey J. Danielson; Anita C. Engelstad; Li H. Erikson; Amy C. Foxgrover; Maya K. Hayden; +18 Authors

Projections of multiple climate-related coastal hazards for the US Southeast Atlantic

Abstract

Faced with accelerating sea level rise and changing ocean storm conditions, coastal communities require comprehensive assessments of climate-driven hazard impacts to inform adaptation measures. Previous studies have focused on flooding but rarely on other climate-related coastal hazards, such as subsidence, beach erosion and groundwater. Here, we project societal exposure to multiple hazards along the Southeast Atlantic coast of the United States. Assuming 1 m of sea level rise, more than 70% of the coastal residents and US$1 trillion in property are in areas projected to experience shallow and emerging groundwater, 15 times higher than daily flooding. Storms increase flooding exposure by an order of magnitude over daily flooding, which could impact up to ~50% of all coastal residents and US$770 billion in property value. The loss of up to ~80% of present-day beaches and high subsidence rates that currently affect over 1 million residents will exacerbate flooding and groundwater hazard risks.

Support for this research project was provided by the US Geological Survey’s Coastal and Marine Hazards and Resources Program and the Additional Supplemental Appropriations for Disaster Relief Act of 2019 (H.R. 2157) for work focused on North Carolina and South Carolina (P.L.B.).

Published version

Country
United States
Keywords

Climate change, Beach erosion, Subsidence, Groundwater, United States, Coastal hazards

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
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