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Nature Energy
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer Nature TDM
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Nature Energy
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios

Authors: Michelle T. H. van Vliet; Michelle T. H. van Vliet; Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; A. Miara; A. Miara; Ioanna Mouratiadou; +27 Authors

Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios

Abstract

Although our knowledge of climate change impacts on energy systems has increased substantially over the past few decades, there remains a lack of comprehensive overview of impacts across spatial scales. Here, we analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Impacts at the regional scale are more mixed and relatively uncertain across regions, but strongest impacts are reported for South Asia and Latin America. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain due partly to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. For a comprehensive assessment of climate impacts on energy, we propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.

Countries
Germany, France, Netherlands, United Kingdom, France
Keywords

WIND POWER RESOURCES, 910, MULTIMODEL ASSESSMENT, BIOENERGY CROPS, SOLAR-ENERGY, EXTREME WEATHER, Life Science, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, WIMEK, Atmosphere, ELECTRICITY DEMAND, POTENTIAL IMPACTS, HYDROPOWER GENERATION, PE&RC, CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES, INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT, Water Systems and Global Change, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    240
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 0.1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 1%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 0.1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
240
Top 0.1%
Top 1%
Top 0.1%
Green
hybrid