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Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios

Although our knowledge of climate change impacts on energy systems has increased substantially over the past few decades, there remains a lack of comprehensive overview of impacts across spatial scales. Here, we analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Impacts at the regional scale are more mixed and relatively uncertain across regions, but strongest impacts are reported for South Asia and Latin America. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain due partly to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. For a comprehensive assessment of climate impacts on energy, we propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.
- King’s University United States
- Federal University of Rio de Janeiro Brazil
- University of Maryland, College Park United States
- University of London United Kingdom
- Kyoto University Japan
WIND POWER RESOURCES, 910, MULTIMODEL ASSESSMENT, BIOENERGY CROPS, SOLAR-ENERGY, EXTREME WEATHER, Life Science, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, WIMEK, Atmosphere, ELECTRICITY DEMAND, POTENTIAL IMPACTS, HYDROPOWER GENERATION, PE&RC, CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES, INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT, Water Systems and Global Change, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment
WIND POWER RESOURCES, 910, MULTIMODEL ASSESSMENT, BIOENERGY CROPS, SOLAR-ENERGY, EXTREME WEATHER, Life Science, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, WIMEK, Atmosphere, ELECTRICITY DEMAND, POTENTIAL IMPACTS, HYDROPOWER GENERATION, PE&RC, CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES, INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT, Water Systems and Global Change, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).240 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 0.1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 1% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 0.1%
