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Challenges resulting from urban density and climate change for the EU energy transition

Challenges resulting from urban density and climate change for the EU energy transition
Dense urban morphologies further amplify extreme climate events due to the urban heat island phenomenon, rendering cities more vulnerable to extreme climate events. Here we develop a modelling framework using multi-scale climate and energy system models to assess the compound impact of future climate variations and urban densification on renewable energy integration for 18 European cities. We observe a marked change in wind speed and temperature due to the aforementioned compound impact, resulting in a notable increase in both peak and annual energy demand. Therefore, an additional cost of 20-60% will be needed during the energy transition (without technology innovation in building) to guarantee climate resilience. Failure to consider extreme climate events will lower power supply reliability by up to 30%. Energy infrastructure in dense urban areas of southern Europe is more vulnerable to the compound impact, necessitating flexibility improvements at the design phase when improving renewable penetration levels.
Understanding the impact of future climate variations and urban densification is key to planning renewable energy integration. By developing a multi-scale spatio-temporal modelling framework, Perera et al. reveal changes in wind speed and temperature across European cities.
- University of Gothenburg Sweden
- École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne EPFL Switzerland
- University of California System United States
- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory United States
- College of New Jersey United States
690, Environmental Engineering, model, Mechanical Engineering, Mechanical engineering, Climate Action, Engineering, Affordable and Clean Energy, extreme weather, Electrical engineering, Biomedical Imaging, systems, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, impacts, Electrical Engineering
690, Environmental Engineering, model, Mechanical Engineering, Mechanical engineering, Climate Action, Engineering, Affordable and Clean Energy, extreme weather, Electrical engineering, Biomedical Imaging, systems, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, impacts, Electrical Engineering
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