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Fertilizer management for global ammonia emission reduction

pmid: 38297125
Fertilizer management for global ammonia emission reduction
Crop production is a large source of atmospheric ammonia (NH3), which poses risks to air quality, human health and ecosystems1-5. However, estimating global NH3 emissions from croplands is subject to uncertainties because of data limitations, thereby limiting the accurate identification of mitigation options and efficacy4,5. Here we develop a machine learning model for generating crop-specific and spatially explicit NH3 emission factors globally (5-arcmin resolution) based on a compiled dataset of field observations. We show that global NH3 emissions from rice, wheat and maize fields in 2018 were 4.3 ± 1.0 Tg N yr-1, lower than previous estimates that did not fully consider fertilizer management practices6-9. Furthermore, spatially optimizing fertilizer management, as guided by the machine learning model, has the potential to reduce the NH3 emissions by about 38% (1.6 ± 0.4 Tg N yr-1) without altering total fertilizer nitrogen inputs. Specifically, we estimate potential NH3 emissions reductions of 47% (44-56%) for rice, 27% (24-28%) for maize and 26% (20-28%) for wheat cultivation, respectively. Under future climate change scenarios, we estimate that NH3 emissions could increase by 4.0 ± 2.7% under SSP1-2.6 and 5.5 ± 5.7% under SSP5-8.5 by 2030-2060. However, targeted fertilizer management has the potential to mitigate these increases.
- Hong Kong Polytechnic University China (People's Republic of)
- Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (香港科技大學) China (People's Republic of)
- Beijing Forestry University China (People's Republic of)
- Southern University of Science and Technology China (People's Republic of)
- Colorado State University United States
Machine Learning, Soil, Ammonia, Nitrogen, Climate Change, Datasets as Topic, Oryza, Fertilizers, Zea mays, Crop Production, Ecosystem, Triticum
Machine Learning, Soil, Ammonia, Nitrogen, Climate Change, Datasets as Topic, Oryza, Fertilizers, Zea mays, Crop Production, Ecosystem, Triticum
1 Research products, page 1 of 1
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