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High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments

توقعات CMIP5 عالية الدقة والمصححة بالتحيز لتقييمات تأثير تغير المناخ
Authors: Julian Ramirez-Villegas; Julian Ramirez-Villegas; Julian Ramirez-Villegas; Jaime Tarapues; Jaime Tarapues; Carlos E. Navarro-Racines; Carlos E. Navarro-Racines; +4 Authors

High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments

Abstract

AbstractProjections of climate change are available at coarse scales (70–400 km). But agricultural and species models typically require finer scale climate data to model climate change impacts. Here, we present a global database of future climates developed by applying the delta method –a method for climate model bias correction. We performed a technical evaluation of the bias-correction method using a ‘perfect sibling’ framework and show that it reduces climate model bias by 50–70%. The data include monthly maximum and minimum temperatures and monthly total precipitation, and a set of bioclimatic indices, and can be used for assessing impacts of climate change on agriculture and biodiversity. The data are publicly available in the World Data Center for Climate (WDCC; cera-www.dkrz.de), as well as in the CCAFS-Climate data portal (http://ccafs-climate.org). The database has been used up to date in more than 350 studies of ecosystem and agricultural impact assessment.

Country
France
Keywords

Data Descriptor, Scale (ratio), Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture, FOS: Political science, Precipitation, Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Climate change, Environmental resource management, Political science, agriculture, Climatology, Species Distribution Modeling and Climate Change Impacts, Geography, Ecology, Ecological Modeling, factors, Life Sciences, Agriculture, Geology, Biodiversity, Computer Science Applications, climate change, Archaeology, Physical Sciences, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, Information Systems, Statistics and Probability, Cartography, Physical geography, Impact assessment, Soil Science, precipitation, Library and Information Sciences, Climate model, Environmental science, Education, models, Meteorology, Biology, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Habitat Suitability, Public administration, food security, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Species Distribution Modeling, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, Soil Carbon Dynamics and Nutrient Cycling in Ecosystems

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    272
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 0.1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 1%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 0.1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
272
Top 0.1%
Top 1%
Top 0.1%
Green
gold