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Wind-wave climate changes and their impacts

Authors: Casas-Prat, Mercè; Hemer, Mark A.; Dodet, Guillaume; Morim, Joao; Wang, Xiaolan L.; Mori, Nobuhito; Young, Ian; +5 Authors

Wind-wave climate changes and their impacts

Abstract

Wind-waves have an important role in Earth system dynamics through air-sea interactions and are key drivers of coastal and offshore hydro-morphodynamics that affect communities, ecosystems, infrastructure and operations. In this Review, we outline historical and projected changes in the wind-wave climate over the world's oceans, and their impacts. Historical trend analysis is challenging owing to the presence of temporal inhomogeneities from increased numbers and types of assimilated data. Nevertheless, there is general agreement over a consistent historical increase in mean wave height of 1-3 cm yr-1 in the Southern and Arctic Oceans, with extremes increasing by >10 cm yr-1 for the latter. By 2100, mean wave height is projected to rise by 5-10% in the Southern Ocean and eastern tropical South Pacific, and by >100% in the Arctic Ocean. By contrast, reductions in mean wave height up to 10% are expected in the North Atlantic and North Pacific, with regional variability and uncertainty for changes in extremes. Differences between 1.5 °C and warmer worlds reveal the potential benefit of limiting anthropogenic warming. Resolving global-scale climate change impacts on coastal processes and atmospheric-ocean-wave interactions requires a step-up in observational and modeling capabilities, including enhanced spatiotemporal resolution and coverage of observations, more homogeneous data products, multidisciplinary model improvement, and better sampling of uncertainty with larger ensembles.

Countries
France, Spain, Spain, United Kingdom
Keywords

550, Physical oceanography, Oceanography, 551, Projection and prediction, [SDU] Sciences of the Universe [physics], [SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics], Climate change, Environmental Sciences

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
downloads
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19
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35
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