
You have already added 0 works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.
You have already added 0 works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.
<script type="text/javascript">
<!--
document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>');
document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=undefined&type=result"></script>');
-->
</script>Most industrialised countries have peaked carbon dioxide emissions during economic crises through strengthened structural change
AbstractAs the climate targets tighten and countries are impacted by several crises, understanding how and under which conditions carbon dioxide emissions peak and start declining is gaining importance. We assess the timing of emissions peaks in all major emitters (1965–2019) and the extent to which past economic crises have impacted structural drivers of emissions contributing to emission peaks. We show that in 26 of 28 countries that have peaked emissions, the peak occurred just before or during a recession through the combined effect of lower economic growth (1.5 median percentage points per year) and decreasing energy and/or carbon intensity (0.7) during and after the crisis. In peak-and-decline countries, crises have typically magnified pre-existing improvements in structural change. In non-peaking countries, economic growth was less affected, and structural change effects were weaker or increased emissions. Crises do not automatically trigger peaks but may strengthen ongoing decarbonisation trends through several mechanisms.
- ETH Zurich Switzerland
- University of Potsdam Germany
- Institute for Environmental Decisions Switzerland
- Research Institute for Sustainability – Helmholtz Centre Potsdam Germany
- Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies Germany
QE1-996.5, ddc:330, Fachgruppe Politik- & Verwaltungswissenschaft, Geology, Article, Environmental sciences, GE1-350
QE1-996.5, ddc:330, Fachgruppe Politik- & Verwaltungswissenschaft, Geology, Article, Environmental sciences, GE1-350
