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Atmosphere circulation patterns synchronize pan-Arctic glacier melt and permafrost thaw

Authors: Ingo Sasgen; Grit Steinhoefel; Caroline Kasprzyk; Heidrun Matthes; Sebastian Westermann; Julia Boike; Guido Grosse;

Atmosphere circulation patterns synchronize pan-Arctic glacier melt and permafrost thaw

Abstract

AbstractThe Arctic is changing rapidly due to the amplification of global temperature trends, causing profound impacts on the ice sheet in Greenland, glaciers, frozen ground, ecosystems, and societies. Here, we focus on impacts that atmospheric circulation causes in addition to the climate warming trends. We combine time series of glacier mass balance from temporal satellite gravimetry measurements (GRACE/GRACE-FO; 2002–2023), active layer thickness in permafrost areas from ESA’s Climate Change Initiative remote sensing and modelling product (2003–2019), and field measurements of the Circumpolar Active Layer Monitoring Network (2002–2023). Despite regional and system-related complexities, we identify robust covariations between these observations, which vary asynchronously between neighbouring regions and synchronously in regions antipodal to the North Pole. We reveal a close connection with dominant modes of atmosphere circulation, controlling about 75% of the common pan-Arctic impact variability (2002–2022), also affecting the Greenland Ice Sheet. We emphasize that it is necessary to consider such atmospheric driving patterns when projecting impacts, particularly caused by extremes, in an increasingly warmer Arctic.

Country
Germany
Keywords

Cryospheric science, QE1-996.5, Atmospheric dynamics, 333.7 Landflächen, Naturräume für Freizeit und Erholung, Naturreservate, Energie, Geology, ddc:910, 550 Geowissenschaften, Environmental sciences, Climate change, GE1-350, ddc: ddc:550, ddc: ddc:333

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold