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Interannual cycles of Hantaan virus outbreaks at the human–animal interface in Central China are controlled by temperature and rainfall

pmid: 28696305
pmc: PMC5544290
Significance Interannual cycles of many zoonotic diseases are considered to be driven by climate variability. However, the role of climate forcing in the modulation of zoonotic dynamics has been highly controversial, chiefly due to the difficulty in quantifying the links between climate forcing, animal population dynamics, and disease dynamics. Here, we address this issue by using a unique field surveillance dataset from Central China, covering one-half century. Our results shed light on the drivers behind interannual variability and the dynamic patterns of disease ecology, and the links between interannual climate variability and the human–animal interface, adding up to 3-mo lead time over outbreak warnings.
- Shanghai Jiao Tong University China (People's Republic of)
- Tsinghua University China (People's Republic of)
- Finnish Meteorological Institute Finland
- Beijing Normal University China (People's Republic of)
- Shanghai Jiao Tong University China (People's Republic of)
Orthohantavirus, Climate, Rain, Disease Vectors, FOS: Health sciences, Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Engineering, wildlife reservoir, Climate change, Rodent, Geography, Ecology, Incidence, Temperature, Life Sciences, time-series data, Hantaan virus, Virus, climate change, Infectious Diseases, Environmental health, Host-Pathogen Interactions, Medicine, Seasons, Viral Hemorrhagic Fevers and Zoonotic Infections, Hantavirus, China, Hantavirus Infections, Population, 610, Dynamics of Livestock Disease Transmission and Control, Rodentia, Emerging Zoonotic Diseases and One Health Approach, spillover to humans, Virology, Health Sciences, Animals, Humans, Biology, Disease Reservoirs, Population Density, Apodemus agrarius, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Outbreak, Models, Theoretical, Transmission (telecommunications), FOS: Biological sciences, Electrical engineering, Agronomy and Crop Science
Orthohantavirus, Climate, Rain, Disease Vectors, FOS: Health sciences, Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Engineering, wildlife reservoir, Climate change, Rodent, Geography, Ecology, Incidence, Temperature, Life Sciences, time-series data, Hantaan virus, Virus, climate change, Infectious Diseases, Environmental health, Host-Pathogen Interactions, Medicine, Seasons, Viral Hemorrhagic Fevers and Zoonotic Infections, Hantavirus, China, Hantavirus Infections, Population, 610, Dynamics of Livestock Disease Transmission and Control, Rodentia, Emerging Zoonotic Diseases and One Health Approach, spillover to humans, Virology, Health Sciences, Animals, Humans, Biology, Disease Reservoirs, Population Density, Apodemus agrarius, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Outbreak, Models, Theoretical, Transmission (telecommunications), FOS: Biological sciences, Electrical engineering, Agronomy and Crop Science
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