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Competition in a technological niche: the cars of the future

The notion of ‘niche’has proved to be useful to account for the emergence of radical innovations. Most studies, however, deal with the development of single emerging technologies. In this paper we address the competition between multiple niche technologies.Within the niche of the ‘car of the future’ two options compete: the battery-electric and the hydrogen car. While both are shielded from regular market forces, they have to compete in terms ofR&Dfunding, supportive regulation and infrastructure build-up. In our case study we trace the competition in terms of design rules and expectations and show how attention for both options has alternated in three phases, which followthe high hopes and subsequent disappointments of the different component technologies. Whereas there is room for simultaneously developed, multiple options at the local level, at the global level attention and expectations seem much more focused on either the one or the other.
- Delft University of Technology Netherlands
- Maastricht University Netherlands
- Utrecht University Netherlands
Milieukunde, REGIME, electric vehicle, TRANSITIONS, hydrogen vehicle, innovation, technological niches, FUEL-CELL, INNOVATION JOURNEYS, MANAGEMENT, TRAJECTORIES, PERSPECTIVE, PORTFOLIOS, competition, EXPECTATIONS, MULTILEVEL ANALYSIS
Milieukunde, REGIME, electric vehicle, TRANSITIONS, hydrogen vehicle, innovation, technological niches, FUEL-CELL, INNOVATION JOURNEYS, MANAGEMENT, TRAJECTORIES, PERSPECTIVE, PORTFOLIOS, competition, EXPECTATIONS, MULTILEVEL ANALYSIS
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).63 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
