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Choice at the pump: measuring preferences for lower-carbon combustion fuels

Abstract A decarbonized future will require a transition to lower carbon fuels for personal transportation. We study consumer preferences for combustion fuels including gasoline, diesel, natural gas, and E85 (85% ethanol and 15% gasoline) using consumer choice survey data from two settings: online (n = 331) and in-person at refueling stations (n = 127). Light-duty vehicle owners were asked in a series of choice tasks to choose among fuels that varied in type, price, CO2 emissions, and location of origin for a hypothetical vehicle that could accept all fuels. We find that the majority of gasoline and E85 users are willing to substitute towards other fuels at today’s prices and attributes, while diesel users have a strong preference for diesel fuel. We also find that respondents are willing to pay on average $150/ton CO2 avoided from fuel consumption—more than most estimates of the social cost of carbon. Thus, communicating the climate benefits from alternative fuels may be an important strategy for decarbonizing the transportation sector.
- George Washington University United States
- Carnegie Mellon University United States
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Austria
- Stanford University United States
330, Science, Physics, QC1-999, Q, sustainability, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, discrete choice models, Environmental sciences, consumer preferences, conjoint analysis, alternative vehicle fuels, GE1-350, TD1-1066
330, Science, Physics, QC1-999, Q, sustainability, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, discrete choice models, Environmental sciences, consumer preferences, conjoint analysis, alternative vehicle fuels, GE1-350, TD1-1066
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).3 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
