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Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

Abstract Clarifying characteristics of hazards and risks of climate change at 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming is important for understanding the implications of the Paris Agreement. We perform and analyze large ensembles of 2 °C and 1.5 °C warming simulations. In the 2 °C runs, we find substantial increases in extreme hot days, heavy rainfalls, high streamflow and labor capacity reduction related to heat stress. For example, about half of the world’s population is projected to experience a present day 1-in-10 year hot day event every other year at 2 °C warming. The regions with relatively large increases of these four hazard indicators coincide with countries characterized by small CO2 emissions, low-income and high vulnerability. Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, compared to 2 °C, is projected to lower increases in the four hazard indicators especially in those regions.
- Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research Norway
- Ritsumeikan University Japan
- Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science Switzerland
- University of Victoria Canada
- King Abdulaziz University Saudi Arabia
690, inequality, 330, Science, QC1-999, climate model, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Climate model, Climate change, GE1-350, TD1-1066, Climate change; Climate model; Paris agreement; Inequality, Physics, Q, 550 Geowissenschaften, Environmental sciences, climate change, Inequality, Paris agreement, ddc: ddc:550
690, inequality, 330, Science, QC1-999, climate model, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Climate model, Climate change, GE1-350, TD1-1066, Climate change; Climate model; Paris agreement; Inequality, Physics, Q, 550 Geowissenschaften, Environmental sciences, climate change, Inequality, Paris agreement, ddc: ddc:550
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).12 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% visibility views 76 download downloads 52 - 76views52downloads
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