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Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

Authors: Hannes Müller Schmied; Hideo Shiogama; Petra Döll; Kiyoshi Takahashi; Yukiko Imada; Seita Emori; Sebastian Ostberg; +20 Authors

Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

Abstract

Abstract Clarifying characteristics of hazards and risks of climate change at 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming is important for understanding the implications of the Paris Agreement. We perform and analyze large ensembles of 2 °C and 1.5 °C warming simulations. In the 2 °C runs, we find substantial increases in extreme hot days, heavy rainfalls, high streamflow and labor capacity reduction related to heat stress. For example, about half of the world’s population is projected to experience a present day 1-in-10 year hot day event every other year at 2 °C warming. The regions with relatively large increases of these four hazard indicators coincide with countries characterized by small CO2 emissions, low-income and high vulnerability. Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, compared to 2 °C, is projected to lower increases in the four hazard indicators especially in those regions.

Countries
Germany, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Norway, Japan, Norway
Keywords

690, inequality, 330, Science, QC1-999, climate model, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Climate model, Climate change, GE1-350, TD1-1066, Climate change; Climate model; Paris agreement; Inequality, Physics, Q, 550 Geowissenschaften, Environmental sciences, climate change, Inequality, Paris agreement, ddc: ddc:550

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
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12
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76
52
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