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A review of trends and drivers of greenhouse gas emissions by sector from 1990 to 2018

AbstractGlobal greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions can be traced to five economic sectors: energy, industry, buildings, transport and AFOLU (agriculture, forestry and other land uses). In this topical review, we synthesise the literature to explain recent trends in global and regional emissions in each of these sectors. To contextualise our review, we present estimates of GHG emissions trends by sector from 1990 to 2018, describing the major sources of emissions growth, stability and decline across ten global regions. Overall, the literature and data emphasise that progress towards reducing GHG emissions has been limited. The prominent global pattern is a continuation of underlying drivers with few signs of emerging limits to demand, nor of a deep shift towards the delivery of low and zero carbon services across sectors. We observe a moderate decarbonisation of energy systems in Europe and North America, driven by fuel switching and the increasing penetration of renewables. By contrast, in rapidly industrialising regions, fossil-based energy systems have continuously expanded, only very recently slowing down in their growth. Strong demand for materials, floor area, energy services and travel have driven emissions growth in the industry, buildings and transport sectors, particularly in Eastern Asia, Southern Asia and South-East Asia. An expansion of agriculture into carbon-dense tropical forest areas has driven recent increases in AFOLU emissions in Latin America, South-East Asia and Africa. Identifying, understanding, and tackling the most persistent and climate-damaging trends across sectors is a fundamental concern for research and policy as humanity treads deeper into the Anthropocene.
- Max Planck Society Germany
- School of Oriental and African Studies United Kingdom
- University of Bristol United Kingdom
- Max Planck Institute of Neurobiology Germany
- University of Maryland, College Park United States
Renewable energy, 550, PEAK CAR, Economics, Social Sciences, AFOLU, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, anzsrc-for: 41 Environmental Sciences, Natural resource economics, Anthropocene, Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences, Climate change, GE1-350, Business, Global Energy Demand, energy systems, Rebound Effect on Energy Efficiency and Consumption, TD1-1066, CLIMATE-CHANGE, industry, Energy, Geography, Ecology, greenhouse gas emissions, Physics, Global warming, Q, Agriculture, Fossil fuel, CARBON-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS, buildings, trends and drivers, Economics, Econometrics and Finance, Archaeology, GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS, Physical Sciences, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Economic Implications of Climate Change Policies, Economics and Econometrics, Environmental Engineering, 330, Life on Land, Science, QC1-999, COOLING ENERGY TRENDS, Environmental Sciences & Ecology, 41 Environmental Sciences, Greenhouse gas, Affordable and Clean Energy, Life Cycle Assessment and Environmental Impact Analysis, DEMAND-SIDE SOLUTIONS, Biology, 13 Climate Action, LAND-COVER CHANGE, Science & Technology, ECONOMIC-GROWTH, DRIVING FORCES, STOCK DYNAMICS, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, 15 Life on Land, 381, 4104 Environmental Management, FOS: Environmental engineering, Environmental Management, Climate Action, Environmental sciences, anzsrc-for: 4104 Environmental Management, FOS: Biological sciences, transport, Environmental Science, 7 Affordable and Clean Energy, Environmental Sciences
Renewable energy, 550, PEAK CAR, Economics, Social Sciences, AFOLU, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, anzsrc-for: 41 Environmental Sciences, Natural resource economics, Anthropocene, Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences, Climate change, GE1-350, Business, Global Energy Demand, energy systems, Rebound Effect on Energy Efficiency and Consumption, TD1-1066, CLIMATE-CHANGE, industry, Energy, Geography, Ecology, greenhouse gas emissions, Physics, Global warming, Q, Agriculture, Fossil fuel, CARBON-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS, buildings, trends and drivers, Economics, Econometrics and Finance, Archaeology, GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS, Physical Sciences, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Economic Implications of Climate Change Policies, Economics and Econometrics, Environmental Engineering, 330, Life on Land, Science, QC1-999, COOLING ENERGY TRENDS, Environmental Sciences & Ecology, 41 Environmental Sciences, Greenhouse gas, Affordable and Clean Energy, Life Cycle Assessment and Environmental Impact Analysis, DEMAND-SIDE SOLUTIONS, Biology, 13 Climate Action, LAND-COVER CHANGE, Science & Technology, ECONOMIC-GROWTH, DRIVING FORCES, STOCK DYNAMICS, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, 15 Life on Land, 381, 4104 Environmental Management, FOS: Environmental engineering, Environmental Management, Climate Action, Environmental sciences, anzsrc-for: 4104 Environmental Management, FOS: Biological sciences, transport, Environmental Science, 7 Affordable and Clean Energy, Environmental Sciences
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