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Environmental Research Letters
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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Environmental Research Letters
Article
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Environmental Research Letters
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Global labor loss due to humid heat exposure underestimated for outdoor workers

Authors: Luke A Parsons; Yuta J Masuda; Timm Kroeger; Drew Shindell; Nicholas H Wolff; June T Spector;

Global labor loss due to humid heat exposure underestimated for outdoor workers

Abstract

Abstract Humid heat impacts a large portion of the world’s population that works outdoors. Previous studies have quantified humid heat impacts on labor productivity by relying on exposure response functions that are based on uncontrolled experiments under a limited range of heat and humidity. Here we use the latest empirical model, based on a wider range of temperatures and humidity, for studying the impact of humid heat and recent climate change on labor productivity. We show that globally, humid heat may currently be associated with over 650 billion hours of annual lost labor (148 million full time equivalent jobs lost), 400 billion hours more than previous estimates. These differences in labor loss estimates are comparable to losses caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Globally, annual heat-induced labor productivity losses are estimated at 2.1 trillion in 2017 PPP$, and in several countries are equivalent to more than 10% of gross domestic product. Over the last four decades, global heat-related labor losses increased by at least 9% (>60 billion hours annually using the new empirical model) highlighting that relatively small changes in climate (<0.5 °C) can have large impacts on global labor and the economy.

Country
United States
Related Organizations
Keywords

humid heat, Science, Physics, QC1-999, Q, labor, 331, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Environmental sciences, climate change, occupational health, GE1-350, climate impacts, TD1-1066

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
51
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 1%
gold