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Environmental Research Letters
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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Environmental Research Letters
Article . 2023
Data sources: DOAJ
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Environmental Research Letters
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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Environmental Research Letters
Article
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Data sources: Sygma
https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/me...
Other literature type . 2023
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Other literature type . 2023
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Significant relationships between drought indicators and impacts for the 2018–2019 drought in Germany

العلاقات الهامة بين مؤشرات الجفاف وآثار الجفاف 2018–2019 في ألمانيا
Authors: Anastasiya Shyrokaya; Gabriele Messori; Ilias Pechlivanidis; Florian Pappenberger; Hannah Cloke; Giuliano Di Baldassarre;

Significant relationships between drought indicators and impacts for the 2018–2019 drought in Germany

Abstract

Abstract Despite the scientific progress in drought detection and forecasting, it remains challenging to accurately predict the corresponding impact of a drought event. This is due to the complex relationships between (multiple) drought indicators and adverse impacts across different places/hydroclimatic conditions, sectors, and spatiotemporal scales. In this study, we explored these relationships by analyzing the impacts of the severe 2018–2019 central European drought event in Germany. We first computed the standardized precipitation index (SPI), the standardized precipitation evaporation index (SPEI), the standardized soil moisture index (SSMI) and the standardized streamflow index (SSFI) over various accumulation periods, and then related these indicators to sectorial losses from the European drought impact report inventory (EDII) and media sources. To cope with the uncertainty associated with both drought indicators and impact data, we developed a fuzzy method to categorize them. Lastly, we applied the method at the region level (EU NUTS1) by correlating monthly time series. Our findings revealed strong and significant relationships between drought indicators and impacts over different accumulation periods, albeit in some cases region-specific and time-variant. Furthermore, our analysis established the interconnectedness between various sectors, which displayed systematically co-occurring impacts. As such, our work provides a new framework to explore drought indicators-impacts dependencies across space, time, sectors, and scales. In addition, it emphasizes the need to leverage available impact data to better forecast drought impacts.

Country
Sweden
Keywords

Cartography, 2018–2019 European drought, Drainage basin, Science, QC1-999, Climate Change and Variability Research, Streamflow, Oceanografi, hydrologi och vattenresurser, drought, Precipitation, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Leverage (statistics), Environmental science, Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources, Global Flood Risk Assessment and Management, Meteorology, FOS: Mathematics, drought indicators, Climate change, GE1-350, Environmental resource management, Biology, TD1-1066, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Drought, Geography, Ecology, Physics, Q, Statistics, 2018-2019 European drought, Geology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Computer science, drought early warning systems, Environmental sciences, World Wide Web, FOS: Biological sciences, Global Drought Monitoring and Assessment, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, impacts of drought, Mathematics, Index (typography)

  • BIP!
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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    8
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
8
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold
Related to Research communities
Energy Research