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Acceleration and interannual variability of creep rates in mountain permafrost landforms (rock glacier velocities) in the European Alps in 1995–2022

Authors: Kellerer-Pirklbauer, Andreas; Bodin, Xavier; Delaloye, Reynald; Lambiel, Christophe; Gärtner-Roer, Isabelle; Bonnefoy-Demongeot, Mylène; Carturan, Luca; +16 Authors

Acceleration and interannual variability of creep rates in mountain permafrost landforms (rock glacier velocities) in the European Alps in 1995–2022

Abstract

Abstract Cryospheric long-term timeseries get increasingly important. To document climate-related effects on long-term viscous creep of ice-rich mountain permafrost, we investigated timeseries (1995–2022) of geodetically-derived Rock Glacier Velocity (RGV), i.e. spatially averaged interannual velocity timeseries related to a rock glacier (RG) unit or part of it. We considered 50 RGV from 43 RGs spatially covering the entire European Alps. Eight of these RGs are destabilized. Results show that RGV are distinctly variable ranging from 0.04 to 6.23 m a−1. Acceleration and deceleration at many RGs are highly correlated with similar behaviour over 2.5 decades for 15 timeseries. In addition to a general long-term, warming-induced trend of increasing velocities, three main phases of distinct acceleration (2000–2004, 2008–2015, 2018–2020), interrupted by deceleration or steady state conditions, were identified. The evolution is attributed to climate forcing and underlines the significance of RGV as a product of the Essential Climate Variable (ECV) permafrost. We show that RGV data are valuable as climate indicators, but such data should always be assessed critically considering changing local factors (geomorphic, thermal, hydrologic) and monitoring approaches. To extract a climate signal, larger RGV ensembles should be analysed. Criteria for selecting new RGV-sites are proposed.

Countries
Italy, France, Switzerland, France, Italy, France, France, France
Keywords

550, Rock Glacier Velocity (RGV); Essential Climate Variable (ECV); terrestrial geodetic monitoring; annual surveys; European Alps; permafrost, [SDU.STU.GM] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Geomorphology, Science, QC1-999, annual surveys, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Essential Climate Variable (ECV), Rock Glacier Velocity (RGV), GE1-350, [SDU.STU.GM]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Geomorphology, [SDU.STU.GL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Glaciology, Renewable Energy, 910 Geography & travel, terrestrial geodetic monitoring, TD1-1066, General Environmental Science, [SDU.STU.GL] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Glaciology, Rock Glacier Velocity (RGV); Essential Climate Variable (ECV); terrestrial geodetic monitoring, annual surveys; European Alps, permafros, Sustainability and the Environment, Physics, Environmental and Occupational Health, Q, Environmental sciences, 10122 Institute of Geography, Public Health, European Alps, permafrost

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
10
Average
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold