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A new data-driven map predicts substantial undocumented peatland areas in Amazonia

Authors: Adam Hastie; J Ethan Householder; Eurídice N Honorio Coronado; C Gabriel Hidalgo Pizango; Rafael Herrera; Outi Lähteenoja; Johan de Jong; +26 Authors

A new data-driven map predicts substantial undocumented peatland areas in Amazonia

Abstract

Abstract Tropical peatlands are among the most carbon-dense terrestrial ecosystems yet recorded. Collectively, they comprise a large but highly uncertain reservoir of the global carbon cycle, with wide-ranging estimates of their global area (441 025–1700 000 km2) and below-ground carbon storage (105–288 Pg C). Substantial gaps remain in our understanding of peatland distribution in some key regions, including most of tropical South America. Here we compile 2413 ground reference points in and around Amazonian peatlands and use them alongside a stack of remote sensing products in a random forest model to generate the first field-data-driven model of peatland distribution across the Amazon basin. Our model predicts a total Amazonian peatland extent of 251 015 km2 (95th percentile confidence interval: 128 671–373 359), greater than that of the Congo basin, but around 30% smaller than a recent model-derived estimate of peatland area across Amazonia. The model performs relatively well against point observations but spatial gaps in the ground reference dataset mean that model uncertainty remains high, particularly in parts of Brazil and Bolivia. For example, we predict significant peatland areas in northern Peru with relatively high confidence, while peatland areas in the Rio Negro basin and adjacent south-western Orinoco basin which have previously been predicted to hold Campinarana or white sand forests, are predicted with greater uncertainty. Similarly, we predict large areas of peatlands in Bolivia, surprisingly given the strong climatic seasonality found over most of the country. Very little field data exists with which to quantitatively assess the accuracy of our map in these regions. Data gaps such as these should be a high priority for new field sampling. This new map can facilitate future research into the vulnerability of peatlands to climate change and anthropogenic impacts, which is likely to vary spatially across the Amazon basin.

Countries
Czech Republic, Spain, Switzerland, Germany, United Kingdom, United Kingdom, Netherlands
Keywords

Tropical peatlands, 570, Geography & travel, Science, QC1-999, 910, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, wetlands, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, Amazonia, carbon cycle, SDG 13 - Climate Action, Climate change, GE1-350, Renewable Energy, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/910, TD1-1066, General Environmental Science, SDG 15 - Life on Land, MCC, 580, Sustainability and the Environment, Data-driven modelling, tropical peatlands, Physics, Environmental and Occupational Health, Q, Peat, DAS, tropical peatlands; carbon cycle; climate change; data-driven modelling; wetlands; peat; Amazonia, Carbon cycle, data-driven modelling, ddc:910, Environmental sciences, climate change, Wetlands, peat, Public Health

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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