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Environmental Research Climate
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Environmental Research Climate
Article . 2025
Data sources: DOAJ
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Urban heat in global cities and the role of nature-based solutions in mitigating future climate risks

Authors: Manuel Esperon-Rodriguez; Rachael V Gallagher; Jonathan Lenoir; Victor L Barradas; Linda J Beaumont; Carlo Calfapietra; Paloma Cariñanos; +10 Authors

Urban heat in global cities and the role of nature-based solutions in mitigating future climate risks

Abstract

Abstract Approximately eight billion people are living on Earth today with more than half (55%, ∼4.2 billion) living in cities—a proportion predicted to increase to 70% (∼6.6. billion) by 2050. As the human population grows, urban residents will face increasingly extreme temperatures under future climate change, which will affect human well-being, health, and mortality. However, nature-based solutions offer promising strategies to mitigate these impacts. Here, we analyst future projections of the maximum temperature of the warmest month, as a proxy for extreme heat exposure across 5646 cities in 218 countries. We show that by mid-century, this climate metric is projected to increase by an average of +1.7 °C (± 0.5 °C), with the largest increases (∼4 °C) projected to occur in mid-to-high latitude cities of Europe, North America, and Australia. We highlight the urgent need to adopt nature-based solutions to mitigate projected increases in urban heat and contribute to net-zero CO2 emissions goals.

Keywords

Environmental sciences, climate change, human societies, Meteorology. Climatology, urban areas, climate exposure, climate risk, GE1-350, QC851-999, global warming

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