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Environmental Research: Energy
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
Environmental Research: Energy
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
Environmental Research: Energy
Article . 2025
Data sources: DOAJ
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Evaluating the effectiveness of cost-minimal planning of decarbonized electricity systems in reducing life cycle greenhouse gas emissions

Authors: Brian Tarroja; Dustin Mulvaney; Rebecca A M Peer; Emily Grubert;

Evaluating the effectiveness of cost-minimal planning of decarbonized electricity systems in reducing life cycle greenhouse gas emissions

Abstract

Abstract The decarbonization of regional electricity systems is a critical enabler of broader economy-wide decarbonization strategies and has motivated robust research on how to decarbonize electricity systems at minimum monetary cost. Since these efforts often focus on the operation of electricity systems, however, they do not account for emissions of the full life cycle associated with different resources. Different resource mixes can achieve a similar level of apparent decarbonization through operational emissions, while achieving very different levels of life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions. To explore these differences, we model the expansion of the California electricity system from 2030 to 2045 using a simplified electricity dispatch model to investigate how the planning of future electricity systems may differ between prioritizing minimum cost versus minimum life cycle GHG emissions under a common target for operational GHG reductions. We find that explicitly planning for minimum life cycle GHG emissions yields an additional 1.6%–2.0% reduction in annual life cycle GHG emissions at a cost penalty of 5.1%–6.9% and that electricity resource mixes that minimize life cycle GHG emissions tend to favor high capacity factor zero-carbon resources and long-duration storage compared to a minimum cost approach. Comparatively, we find that aggressive supply chain decarbonization of generation and storage technologies reduces life cycle GHG emissions of electricity supplies by 3.0% to 14% and combining both increases these reductions to 5.0% to 16%. Further, we find that applying a carbon tax to minimum cost-based capacity expansion can incentivize planning to account for life cycle GHG emissions. Our results indicate that a planning approach focused on minimizing life cycle GHG emissions may not be palatable, but significant reductions in life cycle emissions can be realized through conventional mechanisms like carbon taxes, import standards, and targeted supply chain decarbonization.

Keywords

decarbonization, minimum cost, TJ807-830, HD9502-9502.5, life cycle GHG emissions, Energy industries. Energy policy. Fuel trade, electricity system planning, Renewable energy sources

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
gold
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