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Quantifying temporal change in biodiversity: challenges and opportunities

Growing concern about biodiversity loss underscores the need to quantify and understand temporal change. Here, we review the opportunities presented by biodiversity time series, and address three related issues: (i) recognizing the characteristics of temporal data; (ii) selecting appropriate statistical procedures for analysing temporal data; and (iii) inferring and forecasting biodiversity change. With regard to the first issue, we draw attention to defining characteristics of biodiversity time series—lack of physical boundaries, uni-dimensionality, autocorrelation and directionality—that inform the choice of analytic methods. Second, we explore methods of quantifying change in biodiversity at different timescales, noting that autocorrelation can be viewed as a feature that sheds light on the underlying structure of temporal change. Finally, we address the transition from inferring to forecasting biodiversity change, highlighting potential pitfalls associated with phase-shifts and novel conditions.
570, 2300 Environmental Science, Conservation of Natural Resources, Time Factors, legacy data, 1300 Biochemistry, FoR 11 (Medical and Health Sciences), Climate, QH301 Biology, Genetics and Molecular Biology, Conservation, Resilient Communities, 333, biological diversity, Time, 1100 Agricultural and Biological Sciences, QH301, traits, Place and Environment, Animals, Nature and Society Relations, FoR 06 (Biological Sciences), Global change, Review Articles, time, global change, Climate Solutions, conservation, FoR 07 (Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences), 2400 Immunology and Microbiology, Biodiversity, Plants, Traits, Biological diversity, Sustainability, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Community Health, Human Ecology, Legacy data
570, 2300 Environmental Science, Conservation of Natural Resources, Time Factors, legacy data, 1300 Biochemistry, FoR 11 (Medical and Health Sciences), Climate, QH301 Biology, Genetics and Molecular Biology, Conservation, Resilient Communities, 333, biological diversity, Time, 1100 Agricultural and Biological Sciences, QH301, traits, Place and Environment, Animals, Nature and Society Relations, FoR 06 (Biological Sciences), Global change, Review Articles, time, global change, Climate Solutions, conservation, FoR 07 (Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences), 2400 Immunology and Microbiology, Biodiversity, Plants, Traits, Biological diversity, Sustainability, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Community Health, Human Ecology, Legacy data
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).203 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
