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A Probabilistic Algorithm for Predictive Control With Full-Complexity Models in Non-Residential Buildings

Authors: Juan Gomez-Romero; Carlos J. Fernandez-Basso; M. Victoria Cambronero; Miguel Molina-Solana; Jesus R. Campana; M. Dolores Ruiz; Maria J. Martin-Bautista;

A Probabilistic Algorithm for Predictive Control With Full-Complexity Models in Non-Residential Buildings

Abstract

Despite the increasing capabilities of information technologies for data acquisition and processing, building energy management systems still require manual configuration and supervision to achieve optimal performance. Model predictive control (MPC) aims to leverage equipment control-particularly heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC)-by using a model of the building to capture its dynamic characteristics and to predict its response to alternative control scenarios. Usually, MPC approaches are based on simplified linear models, which support faster computation but also present some limitations regarding interpretability, solution diversification, and longer-term optimization. In this paper, we propose a novel MPC algorithm that uses a full-complexity grey-box simulation model to optimize HVAC operation in non-residential buildings. Our system generates hundreds of candidate operation plans, typically for the next day, and evaluates them in terms of consumption and comfort by means of a parallel simulator configured according to the expected building conditions (weather and occupancy). The system has been implemented and tested in an office building in Helsinki, both in a simulated environment and in the real building, yielding energy savings around 35% during the intermediate winter season and 20% in the whole winter season with respect to the current operation of the heating equipment. This work was supported in part by the Universidad de Granada under Grant P9-2014-ING, in part by the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities under Grant TIN2017-91223-EXP, in part by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness under Grant TIN2015-64776-C3-1-R, and in part by the European Union (Energy IN TIME EeB.NMP.2013-4), under Grant 608981.

Countries
United Kingdom, Spain
Keywords

Technology, THERMAL COMFORT, Building energy management system, WEATHER FORECAST, Engineering, Control, ENERGY MANAGEMENT, Model predictive control, OPTIMIZATION, OF-THE-ART, building energy management system, Science & Technology, Computer Science, Information Systems, NONDOMESTIC BUILDINGS, 600, Engineering, Electrical & Electronic, CONSUMPTION, PERFORMANCE, simulation, 620, TK1-9971, Computer Science, HVAC CONTROL-SYSTEMS, SIMULATION, Telecommunications, Electrical & Electronic, Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering, control, Simulation, Information Systems

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    21
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
21
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
gold