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A Probabilistic Algorithm for Predictive Control With Full-Complexity Models in Non-Residential Buildings

Authors: Juan Gomez-Romero; Carlos J. Fernandez-Basso; M. Victoria Cambronero; Miguel Molina-Solana; Jesus R. Campana; M. Dolores Ruiz; Maria J. Martin-Bautista;

A Probabilistic Algorithm for Predictive Control With Full-Complexity Models in Non-Residential Buildings

Abstract

Despite the increasing capabilities of information technologies for data acquisition and processing, building energy management systems still require manual configuration and supervision to achieve optimal performance. Model predictive control (MPC) aims to leverage equipment control-particularly heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC)-by using a model of the building to capture its dynamic characteristics and to predict its response to alternative control scenarios. Usually, MPC approaches are based on simplified linear models, which support faster computation but also present some limitations regarding interpretability, solution diversification, and longer-term optimization. In this paper, we propose a novel MPC algorithm that uses a full-complexity grey-box simulation model to optimize HVAC operation in non-residential buildings. Our system generates hundreds of candidate operation plans, typically for the next day, and evaluates them in terms of consumption and comfort by means of a parallel simulator configured according to the expected building conditions (weather and occupancy). The system has been implemented and tested in an office building in Helsinki, both in a simulated environment and in the real building, yielding energy savings around 35% during the intermediate winter season and 20% in the whole winter season with respect to the current operation of the heating equipment.

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

Technology, THERMAL COMFORT, WEATHER FORECAST, Engineering, ENERGY MANAGEMENT, Model predictive control, OPTIMIZATION, OF-THE-ART, building energy management system, Science & Technology, NONDOMESTIC BUILDINGS, CONSUMPTION, PERFORMANCE, simulation, TK1-9971, Computer Science, HVAC CONTROL-SYSTEMS, Telecommunications, Electrical & Electronic, Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering, control, Information Systems

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
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16
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