
You have already added 0 works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.
You have already added 0 works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.
<script type="text/javascript">
<!--
document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>');
document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=undefined&type=result"></script>');
-->
</script>
PV Plant Power Nowcasting: A Real Case Comparative Study With an Open Access Dataset

handle: 11311/1162273
Energy systems around the world are undergoing substantial changes, with an increasing penetration of Renewable Energy Sources. For this reason, the availability of a pool of suitable forecasting models specific for the needed time horizon and task is becoming crucial in the grid operation. In addition, nowcasting techniques aiming at provideing the power forecast for the immediate future, are more often investigated due to the spread of micro-grids and the need of facing changing electrical market environments. In this paper a novel comprehensive methodology aiming at computing the PV power forecast on different time horizons and resolutions is introduced. Moving from the 24-hours ahead prediction provided by the Physical Hybrid Artificial Neural Network (PHANN), a technique to refine the power forecast for the following 3 hours with an hourly granularity is analyzed, leveraging on newer information available during the operations. Moreover, in order to provide the power forecast for the following 30 minutes on a minutely basis, an innovative modification of a statistical technique is proposed, the robust persistence. The proposed comprehensive approach allowed to greatly reduce the overall error committed when compared with the benchmark models. Finally, the proposed methodology is validated and tested on a freely available database consisting on different parameters recorded at both the meteorological and photovoltaic test facility at SolarTechLAB, Politecnico di Milano, Milan.
Production, nowcasting, Renewable energy sources, Weather forecasting, TK1-9971, Predictive models, Mathematical model, power forecast, real case study, Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering, renewable energy sources, Photovoltaic systems, Neural networks, Forecasting
Production, nowcasting, Renewable energy sources, Weather forecasting, TK1-9971, Predictive models, Mathematical model, power forecast, real case study, Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering, renewable energy sources, Photovoltaic systems, Neural networks, Forecasting
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).22 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
