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Electricity price and demand forecasting under smart grid environment

Authors: Hatem H. Zeineldin; Wei Lee Woon; Dina Masri;

Electricity price and demand forecasting under smart grid environment

Abstract

In this paper, the development of electricity price and demand forecasting, with the emergence of demand response programs, is investigated. Short Term Load/Price Forecasting (STL/PF) is performed for an electricity market that offers Demand Response (DR) Programs. The change in the forecasting errors, of both electricity price and demand, over years of inactive and active DR is monitored. Commonly used prediction methods, namely; Least Squares-Support Vector Machines (LS-SVM), and Random Forests (RF), are used for forecasting, to ensure the generality of the results. The Australian National Electricity Market (ANEM), specifically Victoria region, is used as a subject case study. It was concluded that adding DR programs decreases the volatility of electricity price, with no validated effect on demand.

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average