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A benchmark of dynamic reliability methods for probabilistic safety assessment

Authors: Xiaolei Pan; Francesco Di Maio; Enrico Zio;

A benchmark of dynamic reliability methods for probabilistic safety assessment

Abstract

Various dynamic reliability methods have been developed during the last several decades, such as Monte Carlo (MC) simulation, Dynamic Event Tree (DET) and Monte Carlo Dynamic Event Tree (MCDET) methods, to name a few. This paper benchmarks these particular methods by applying them to a classic level control dynamic system and to a realistic Emergency and Standby Power System (ESPS). The analysis is done with respect to different component aging dynamics and transition rate state dependences. Efficiency and computational cost are evaluated. The results show that: (1) the dynamic methods indeed are capable of capturing the effects of the dynamics in the process; (2) DET can model the possible accidental sequences, but at a large computational cost; (3) accurate modelling of sequences with low probabilities of occurrence can be achieved by the MCDET method.

Country
Italy
Keywords

[INFO]Computer Science [cs], [INFO] Computer Science [cs]

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    7
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green