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Mitigating load forecast errors for suppliers by utilizing energy storage at a substation level

Authors: Qiuyang Ma; Ran Li; Furong Li; Chenghong Gu; Heather Wyman-Pain; Xiaohe Yan;

Mitigating load forecast errors for suppliers by utilizing energy storage at a substation level

Abstract

Due to the growth of intermittent generation and flexible demand, the difference between real metered load profiles and predicted profiles has increased significantly. This has caused a higher cost to suppliers as they have to mitigate the errors by using costly fast response generators or buying expensive energy from other suppliers. Improving load forecast accuracy is an alternative to reduce the difference and consequently the costs, but it relies on large quantities of historical load data which is not necessarily available. This paper utilises a novel control strategy for energy storage systems to mitigate forecast errors for suppliers. This results in energy cost savings and the Use-of-System (UoS) savings. In order to test the charging/discharging strategies and quantify the economic benefits, a case study has been conducted by utilizing smart metering data. The case study has produced a 33.2% cost reduction in the energy cost savings.

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average