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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Archivio della ricer...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
https://doi.org/10.1109/tdc.20...
Conference object . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
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A Knowledge Based System for Medium Term Load Forecasting

Authors: FALVO, Maria Carmen; LAMEDICA, Regina; S. Pierazzo; A. Prudenzi;

A Knowledge Based System for Medium Term Load Forecasting

Abstract

The paper reports a new methodology for the medium term load forecasting providing monthly energy consumption and monthly maximum demand for a municipal utility. To this aim a modular procedure, based on an artificial neural network (ANN), which is a multi-layer perceptron using a back-propagation feed-forward algorithm, is implemented. The monthly forecasts are obtained through some knowledge based activities from the output of stage providing annual energy forecast. The choice of the prediction stage is reported by illustrating the results of a comparison with canonical statistical methods, such as exponential smoothing and ARIMA. The whole knowledge based procedure is illustrated in due detail and some best forecasting performances are reported thus demonstrating validity of the proposed approach

Country
Italy
Keywords

artificial neural network; knowledge based system; medium term load forecasting; power system planning; statistical forecasting methods

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    7
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Average
Average
Average