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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao IEEE Transactions on...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
License: IEEE Copyright
Data sources: Crossref
https://doi.org/10.1109/icps.2...
Conference object . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Probabilistic Short-Term Wind Power Forecast Using Componential Sparse Bayesian Learning

Authors: Shu Fan; Ming Yang; Wei-Jen Lee;

Probabilistic Short-Term Wind Power Forecast Using Componential Sparse Bayesian Learning

Abstract

A practical approach for probabilistic short-term generation forecast of a wind farm is proposed in this paper. Compared to the deterministic wind generation forecast, the probabilistic wind generation forecast can provide important wind generation distribution information for operation, trading, and some other applications. The proposed approach is based on Sparse Bayesian Learning (SBL) algorithm, which products probabilistic forecast results by estimating the probabilistic density of the weights of Gaussian kernel functions. Furthermore, since the wind generation time series exhibits strong non-stationary property, a componential forecast strategy is used here to improve the forecast accuracy. According to the strategy, the wind generation series is decomposed into several more predictable series by discrete wavelet transform (DWT), and then the resulted series are forecasted using SBL algorithm respectively. To fulfill multi-look-ahead wind generation forecast, a multi-SBL forecast model is constructed in the context. Tests on a 74-MW wind farm located in southwest Oklahoma demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    76
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
76
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 10%