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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao IEEE Transactions on...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: IEEE Copyright
Data sources: Crossref
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Electricity Forecasting Using Multi-Stage Estimators of Nonlinear Additive Models

Authors: Audrey Pichavant; Yannig Goude; Jean-Michel Poggi; Anestis Antoniadis; Vincent Thouvenot;

Electricity Forecasting Using Multi-Stage Estimators of Nonlinear Additive Models

Abstract

French electricity load forecasting has encountered major changes during the past decade. These changes are, among other things, due to the opening of the electricity market and the economic crisis, which require the development of new automatic time adaptive prediction methods. The advent of innovating technologies also needs the development of some automatic methods because thousands or tens of thousands of time series have to be studied. In this paper we adopt for prediction a semi-parametric approach based on additive models. We present an automatic procedure for explanatory variable selection in an additive model and show how to correct middle term forecasting errors for short term forecasting. First, we consider an application to the EDF customer load demand which is typical of a load demand at an aggregate level. The goal of the application is to select variables from a large explanatory variables dictionary. The second application presented is an application on load demand of GEFCom 2012 competition, which we consider as a local application, where a major difficulty is to select some meteorological stations.

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    25
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
25
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Related to Research communities
Energy Research