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Tail‐dependence of masting synchrony results in continent‐wide seed scarcity

pmid: 38994849
handle: 2318/2027952
AbstractSpatial synchrony may be tail‐dependent, meaning it is stronger for peaks rather than troughs, or vice versa. High interannual variation in seed production in perennial plants, called masting, can be synchronized at subcontinental scales, triggering extensive resource pulses or famines. We used data from 99 populations of European beech (Fagus sylvatica) to examine whether masting synchrony differs between mast peaks and years of seed scarcity. Our results revealed that seed scarcity occurs simultaneously across the majority of the species range, extending to populations separated by distances up to 1800 km. Mast peaks were spatially synchronized at distances up to 1000 km and synchrony was geographically concentrated in northeastern Europe. Extensive synchrony in the masting lower tail means that famines caused by beech seed scarcity are amplified by their extensive spatial synchrony, with diverse consequences for food web functioning and climate change biology.
- University of Liverpool United Kingdom
- Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznań Poland
- University of Turin Italy
Europe, Climate Change, Seeds, Fagus, geography of synchrony; mast seeding; Moran effect; plant reproduction; pulsed resources; seed production; spatial synchrony; tail-dependent synchrony
Europe, Climate Change, Seeds, Fagus, geography of synchrony; mast seeding; Moran effect; plant reproduction; pulsed resources; seed production; spatial synchrony; tail-dependent synchrony
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