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Global Change Biology
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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‘How to adapt forests?’—Exploring the role of leaf trait diversity for long‐term forest biomass under new climate normals

Authors: Maik Billing; Boris Sakschewski; Werner von Bloh; Johannes Vogel; Kirsten Thonicke;

‘How to adapt forests?’—Exploring the role of leaf trait diversity for long‐term forest biomass under new climate normals

Abstract

AbstractForests, critical components of global ecosystems, face unprecedented challenges due to climate change. This study investigates the influence of functional diversity—as a component of biodiversity—to enhance long‐term biomass of European forests in the context of changing climatic conditions. Using the next‐generation flexible trait‐based vegetation model, LPJmL‐FIT, we explored the impact of functional diversity on long‐term forest biomass under three different climate change scenarios (video abstract: https://www.pik‐potsdam.de/~billing/video/2023/video_abstract_billing_et_al_LPJmLFIT.mp4). Four model set‐ups were tested with varying degrees of functional diversity and best‐suited functional traits. Our results show that functional diversity positively influences long‐term forest biomass, particularly when climate warming is low (RCP2.6). Under these conditions, high‐diversity simulations led to an approximately 18.2% increase in biomass compared to low‐diversity experiments. However, as climate change intensity increased, the benefits of functional diversity diminished (RCP8.5). A Bayesian multilevel analysis revealed that both full leaf trait diversity and diversity of plant functional types contributed significantly to biomass enhancement under low warming scenarios in our model simulations. Under strong climate change, the presence of a mixture of different functional groups (e.g. summergreen and evergreen broad‐leaved trees) was found more beneficial than the diversity of leaf traits within a functional group (e.g. broad‐leaved summergreen trees). Ultimately, this research challenges the notion that planting only the most productive and climate‐suited trees guarantees the highest future biomass and carbon sequestration. We underscore the importance of high functional diversity and the potential benefits of fostering a mixture of tree functional types to enhance long‐term forest biomass in the face of climate change.

Country
Germany
Keywords

Plant Leaves, 570, Bayes Theorem, Biomass, Forests, Ecosystem

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
hybrid
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