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Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale
Abstract Species’ range shifts and local extinctions caused by climate change lead to community composition changes. At large spatial scales, ecological barriers, such as biome boundaries, coastlines, and elevation, can influence a community's ability to shift in response to climate change. Yet, ecological barriers are rarely considered in climate change studies, potentially hindering predictions of biodiversity shifts. We used data from two consecutive European breeding bird atlases to calculate the geographic distance and direction between communities in the 1980's and their compositional best match in the 2010’s and modeled their response to barriers. The ecological barriers affected both the distance and direction of bird community composition shifts, with coastlines and elevation having the strongest influence. Our results underscore the relevance of combining ecological barriers and community shift projections for identifying the forces hindering community adjustments under global change. Notably, due to (macro)ecological barriers, communities are not able to track their climatic niches, which may lead to drastic changes, and potential losses, in community compositions in the future.
- University of Niš Serbia
- Centre for Research on Ecology and Forestry Applications Spain
- University of Nyíregyháza Hungary
- Swiss Ornithological Institute Switzerland
- University of St Andrews United Kingdom
Composite material, Ecosystem Resilience, Ecological niche, Population, Geometry, Community, Environmental change, Environmental science, Impact of Climate Change on Forest Wildfires, Elevation (ballistics), Biodiversity Conservation and Ecosystem Management, Range (aeronautics), Sociology, Biome, FOS: Mathematics, Climate change, Spatial ecology, Global change, Biology, Ecosystem, Nature and Landscape Conservation, Demography, Global and Planetary Change, Species Distribution Modeling and Climate Change Impacts, Habitat Suitability, Ecology, Geography, Ecological Modeling, Biodiversity, Species Distribution Modeling, Materials science, FOS: Sociology, Habitat, Community Ecology, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, Geographical distance, Habitat Fragmentation, Temporal scales, Mathematics
Composite material, Ecosystem Resilience, Ecological niche, Population, Geometry, Community, Environmental change, Environmental science, Impact of Climate Change on Forest Wildfires, Elevation (ballistics), Biodiversity Conservation and Ecosystem Management, Range (aeronautics), Sociology, Biome, FOS: Mathematics, Climate change, Spatial ecology, Global change, Biology, Ecosystem, Nature and Landscape Conservation, Demography, Global and Planetary Change, Species Distribution Modeling and Climate Change Impacts, Habitat Suitability, Ecology, Geography, Ecological Modeling, Biodiversity, Species Distribution Modeling, Materials science, FOS: Sociology, Habitat, Community Ecology, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, Geographical distance, Habitat Fragmentation, Temporal scales, Mathematics
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).0 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
