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https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3....
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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Climatic Change
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer Nature TDM
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Climatic Change
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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A multi-model framework to assess the role of R&D towards a decarbonized energy system

Authors: Larissa Nogueira; Francesco Dalla Longa; Lara Aleluia Reis; Laurent Drouet; Zoi Vrontisi; Kostas Fragkiadakis; Evangelos Panos; +1 Authors

A multi-model framework to assess the role of R&D towards a decarbonized energy system

Abstract

Abstract Research and development (R&D) investments foster green innovation, which is key to decarbonize the energy system and attain long-term climate goals. In this paper, we link three integrated assessment models that possess a macroeconomic framework – WITCH, MERGE-ETL and GEM-E3 – with the bottom-up technology-rich energy system model TIAM-ECN, in order to quantitatively explore how investments in R&D can support deep decarbonization pathways. We take advantage of the endogenous technological learning feature of the first three models to derive R&D-induced capital cost reductions for strategic clusters of low-carbon technologies: solar energy, on- and offshore wind energy, carbon capture and storage, advanced fuels, and batteries for electric vehicles. We examine scenarios with different assumptions on CO2 mitigation and R&D policy. These assumptions are harmonized among our four models, and capital cost reductions driven by R&D are exogenously incorporated in TIAM-ECN, which enables a detailed assessment of the required energy transition. Our results show that the stringency of climate change mitigation policy remains the key factor influencing the diffusion of low-carbon technologies, while R&D can support mitigation goals and influence the contribution of different types of technologies. If implemented effectively and without worldwide barriers to knowledge spill-overs, R&D facilitates the deployment of mature technologies such as solar, wind, and electric vehicles, and enables lower overall energy system costs.

Country
Netherlands
Keywords

Climate change mitigation, 330, R&D, Energy / Geological Survey Netherlands, IAM, Decarbonization, 333, Energy transition

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average