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Energy Conversion and Management
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Scaling Energy System Optimizations: Techno-Economic Assessment of Energy Autonomy in 11000 German Municipalities

Authors: Risch, Stanley; Weinand, Jann Michael; Schulze, Kai; Vartak, Sammit; Kleinebrahm, Max; Pflugradt, Noah; Kullmann, Felix; +3 Authors

Scaling Energy System Optimizations: Techno-Economic Assessment of Energy Autonomy in 11000 German Municipalities

Abstract

Increasing energy autonomy is one of the main reasons for municipalities to invest in renewable energy technologies. In this study, the potential of weather-robust autonomous energy systems is evaluated for 11 003 German municipalities in over one million parallelized techno-economic optimizations utilizing high-performance computing clusters. For this purpose, a holistic municipal-level energy system model (ETHOS.FineRegions) was developed that minimizes annualized system costs in 2045. The completely energy autonomous supply can be established in around 90% of German municipalities corresponding to 50% of the country‘s population. Especially highly populated municipalities often do not have the capacity to meet their own energy demands due to low wind and open-field PV potentials. Large rooftop PV capacities account for 40% of installed capacity in the autonomous municipalities. Seasonal storage needs are met by large underground thermal storage tanks and batteries provide intraday storage. Furthermore, huge capacity increases are often required for the final 20% of energy demand to be met in order to achieve a degree of autonomy of 100%. The large storage and rooftop PV capacities lead to high specific system costs in the autonomous municipalities with between 144 €/MWh and 174 €/MWh on average, depending on legislation and opposition towards onshore wind installations. By paying a premium of up to 50% compared to the grid-dependent system, 3945 municipalities with 17.2 million inhabitants could become completely autonomous by 2045. For regions that could achieve an autonomous energy supply at moderate costs, however, lost revenues through energy exports could be a decisive argument against autonomy efforts.

Countries
Germany, Switzerland
Keywords

info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/330, 330, ddc:330, Economics, Self-sufficiency, Social acceptance, Energy autonomy, Island system, Municipal level, Energy autonomy; Off-grid; Island system; Self-sufficiency; Municipal level; Energy system optimization; Parallelized optimization; Social acceptance, 620, Off-grid, Parallelized optimization, Energy system optimization, info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/620

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    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
Related to Research communities
Energy Research