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Atmospheric methane: Comparison between methane’s record in 2006-2022 and during glacial terminations.

AbstractAtmospheric methane's rapid growth from late 2006 is unprecedented in the observational record. Assessment of atmospheric methane data attributes a large fraction of this atmospheric growth to increased natural emissions over the tropics, which appear to be responding to changes in anthropogenic climate forcing. Isotopically lighter measurements of are consistent with the recent atmospheric methane growth being mainly driven by an increase in emissions from microbial sources, particularly wetlands. The global methane budget is currently in disequilibrium and new inputs are as yet poorly quantified. Although microbial emissions from agriculture and waste sources have increased between 2006 and 2022 by perhaps 35 Tg/yr, with wide uncertainty, approximately another 35–45 Tg/yr of the recent net growth in methane emissions may have been driven by natural biogenic processes, especially wetland feedbacks to climate change. A model comparison shows that recent changes may be comparable or greater in scale and speed than methane's growth and isotopic shift during past glacial/interglacial termination events. It remains possible that methane's current growth is within the range of Holocene variability, but it is also possible that methane's recent growth and isotopic shift may indicate a large‐scale reorganization of the natural climate and biosphere is under way.
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration United States
- Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research (INSTAAR) University of Colorado, Boulder United States
- University of Colorado Boulder United States
- University of Colorado Boulder
- Utrecht University Netherlands
Anthropogenic source, Global and Planetary Change, Atmospheric Science, Atmospheric gas, 530 Physics, Sudden global climate change, sudden global climate change, atmospheric methane growth driven by biogenic sources, Urbanisation, Atmospheric methane growth driven by biogenic sources, Glacial/interglacial comparison, Biogenic emission, SDG 13 - Climate Action, Climate change, Environmental Chemistry, 570 Life sciences; biology, Climate forcing, Comparative study, Glacial-interglacial cycle, glacial/interglacial comparison, Methane, 550 Earth sciences & geology, General Environmental Science
Anthropogenic source, Global and Planetary Change, Atmospheric Science, Atmospheric gas, 530 Physics, Sudden global climate change, sudden global climate change, atmospheric methane growth driven by biogenic sources, Urbanisation, Atmospheric methane growth driven by biogenic sources, Glacial/interglacial comparison, Biogenic emission, SDG 13 - Climate Action, Climate change, Environmental Chemistry, 570 Life sciences; biology, Climate forcing, Comparative study, Glacial-interglacial cycle, glacial/interglacial comparison, Methane, 550 Earth sciences & geology, General Environmental Science
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