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Climate Research
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Climate Research
Article . 2009 . Peer-reviewed
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Advancing phenology in Europe’s last lowland primeval forest: non-linear temperature response

Authors: Sparks, Tim H.; Jaroszewicz, Bogdan; Krawczyk, Marta; Tryjanowski, R.;

Advancing phenology in Europe’s last lowland primeval forest: non-linear temperature response

Abstract

We analysed phenological observations of first flowering and peak flowering dates of 7 species of woodland herbs in the Bia8owie · za National Park (Poland), Europe's last remaining lowland primeval forest and a World Heritage Site, during 1964-2007. There was substantial evidence for an advance in both first and peak flowering dates and flowering was closely related to temperature, which had risen substantially in this area. Similar advances have been reported from elsewhere, but typically from human-modified habitats. A comparison with contemporary data from the UK suggests that flowering was both later and less responsive in Poland. Examination of the data from the 2 coun- tries over a wide range of temperatures hints at possible non-linear temperature responses; thus esti- mates of phenological change from linear regression may seriously underestimate changes which may occur in Bia8owie · za in the future.

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

333, Atmospheric Sciences, Flowering, Meteorology and Climatology, Phenology, Earth Sciences, Temperature response, Climate change, Poland, Primeval forest

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    28
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
28
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze