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Advancing phenology in Europe’s last lowland primeval forest: non-linear temperature response

doi: 10.3354/cr00812
We analysed phenological observations of first flowering and peak flowering dates of 7 species of woodland herbs in the Bia8owie · za National Park (Poland), Europe's last remaining lowland primeval forest and a World Heritage Site, during 1964-2007. There was substantial evidence for an advance in both first and peak flowering dates and flowering was closely related to temperature, which had risen substantially in this area. Similar advances have been reported from elsewhere, but typically from human-modified habitats. A comparison with contemporary data from the UK suggests that flowering was both later and less responsive in Poland. Examination of the data from the 2 coun- tries over a wide range of temperatures hints at possible non-linear temperature responses; thus esti- mates of phenological change from linear regression may seriously underestimate changes which may occur in Bia8owie · za in the future.
- Natural Environment Research Council United Kingdom
- University of Warsaw Poland
- Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznań Poland
333, Atmospheric Sciences, Flowering, Meteorology and Climatology, Phenology, Earth Sciences, Temperature response, Climate change, Poland, Primeval forest
333, Atmospheric Sciences, Flowering, Meteorology and Climatology, Phenology, Earth Sciences, Temperature response, Climate change, Poland, Primeval forest
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).28 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
