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Frontiers in Climate
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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Frontiers in Climate
Article . 2023
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Climate change, natural disasters, and international migration: A country-level analysis considering climatic zones

Authors: Martinez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada; Nowak-Lehmann, Felicitas; Paschoaleto, Rafael Duarte Lisboa; Martínez-Zarzoso, Inma; 1Department of Economics, University of Goettingen, Göttingen, Lower Saxony, Germany; Nowak-Lehmann, Felicitas; 1Department of Economics, University of Goettingen, Göttingen, Lower Saxony, Germany; Paschoaleto, Rafael Duarte Lisboa; 1Department of Economics, University of Goettingen, Göttingen, Lower Saxony, Germany;

Climate change, natural disasters, and international migration: A country-level analysis considering climatic zones

Abstract

Climate change and natural disasters might increase the vulnerability of populations in affected regions. This article investigates the link between climatic events and bilateral migration from countries in the Global South to OECD countries. A gravity model is estimated using panel data techniques and bearing in mind potential sources of heterogeneity across subsamples. The main novelty is to distinguish by climatic zones, while also considering commonly used social and economic stresses, such as income levels and incidence of conflict. The analysis is based on bilateral emigration flows from 76 developing countries to OECD countries in the last decades. The results show that increasing extreme temperatures and storms in arid and semi-arid zones act as triggers of bilateral migration from South to North and that the estimated effects are non-negligible. The results are robust to a battery of tests, including dividing the sample according to the levels of conflict and poverty.

Country
Germany
Keywords

poverty, conflict, gravity models, 13. Acción por el clima, Environmental sciences, climatic zones, climate change, natural disasters, international migration, GE1-350

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    3
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
gold