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Exploring the Influence of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Scenarios on School Energy Retrofits: An Emphasis on the Building Envelope

Authors: Irene Romero-Recuero; Beatriz Nestares-Nieto; Antonio Serrano-Jiménez;

Exploring the Influence of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Scenarios on School Energy Retrofits: An Emphasis on the Building Envelope

Abstract

The optimization of energy consumption in response to global warming scenarios presents fundamental challenges in the built environment, particularly in Mediterranean climates, where comfort and energy efficiency require priority-based adaptation. This study examines the effectiveness of passive energy retrofit strategies applied to an educational building in Granada, Spain, accommodating both teaching and residential uses. The research uses advanced climatic data based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), incorporating precise projections of climate evolution. Using simulations conducted in DesignBuilder, it evaluates three intervention packages for the building envelope—window replacement, facade insulation, and roof insulation—across three temporal scenarios: 2024, 2050, and 2080. The results indicate that passive measures could reduce heating demand by up to 90% in future scenarios, while cooling demand is projected to increase by more than 80% by the end of the century. Additionally, climate projections under the SSP scenarios show up to an 83% increase in energy demand, emphasizing the need for integrated passive and active strategies. The research includes a sensitivity analysis of the interaction between passive strategies and advanced climate scenarios. It offers decision-making models for energy retrofitting and provides replicable key insights to support energy retrofitting policies and climate resilience in the Mediterranean region.

Country
Spain
Related Organizations
Keywords

Built environment, SSP climate scenarios, Technology, QH301-705.5, QC1-999, Energy Engineering, schools, passive strategies, Passive strategies, Husbyggnad, Biology (General), Energy Systems, Energy retrofitting, QD1-999, energy efficiency, Building Technologies, Energisystem, T, Physics, energy retrofitting, Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General), built environment, Climate Science, Energiteknik, Chemistry, climate change, Energy efficiency, TA1-2040, Klimatvetenskap

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold
Related to Research communities
Energy Research