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Generalised Regression Hypothesis Induction for Energy Consumption Forecasting

doi: 10.3390/en12061069
handle: 10481/61857 , 10044/1/67867
This work addresses the problem of energy consumption time series forecasting. In our approach, a set of time series containing energy consumption data is used to train a single, parameterised prediction model that can be used to predict future values for all the input time series. As a result, the proposed method is able to learn the common behaviour of all time series in the set (i.e., a fingerprint) and use this knowledge to perform the prediction task, and to explain this common behaviour as an algebraic formula. To that end, we use symbolic regression methods trained with both single- and multi-objective algorithms. Experimental results validate this approach to learn and model shared properties of different time series, which can then be used to obtain a generalised regression model encapsulating the global behaviour of different energy consumption time series.
- Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (香港科技大學) China (People's Republic of)
- Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (香港科技大學) China (People's Republic of)
- Hong Kong Polytechnic University China (People's Republic of)
- Imperial College London United Kingdom
- University of Granada Spain
Technology, 02 Physical Sciences, T, pattern recognition, Symbolic regression, forecasting, 310, 09 Engineering, 004, 620, Energy consumption, energy consumption, Pattern recognition, symbolic regression, Forecasting
Technology, 02 Physical Sciences, T, pattern recognition, Symbolic regression, forecasting, 310, 09 Engineering, 004, 620, Energy consumption, energy consumption, Pattern recognition, symbolic regression, Forecasting
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).4 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
