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A Through-Life Cost Analysis Model to Support Investment Decision-Making in Concentrated Solar Power Projects

Authors: Shafiee, Mahmood; Alghamdi, Adel; Sansom, Christopher L.; Hart, Phil; Encinas-Oropesa, Adriana;

A Through-Life Cost Analysis Model to Support Investment Decision-Making in Concentrated Solar Power Projects

Abstract

This research paper aims to propose a through-life cost analysis model for estimating the profitability of renewable concentrated solar power (CSP) technologies. The financial outputs of the model include net present value (NPV) and benefit-cost ratio (BCR) of the project, internal rate of return (IRR) and discounted payback period (DPBP) of the investment, and levelized cost of energy (LCoE) from the CSP technology. The meteorological data for a specific location in the city of Tucson in Arizona is collected from a network of automated weather stations, and the NREL System Advisor Model (SAM) is applied to simulate hourly energy output of the CSP plant. An Excel spreadsheet tool is designed to calculate, in a bottom-up approach, the financial metrics required for approval of CSP projects. The model is tested on a 50 MW parabolic trough CSP plant and the results show an annual energy production of 456,351,232 kWh, NPV of over $64 million and LCoE of 0.16 $/kWh. Finally, a sensitivity analysis is performed to identify the factors which have the most significant effect on the economic performance of CSP technologies. The proposed model can provide valuable guidance to support the strategic planning and investment decision-making in CSP projects.

Country
United Kingdom
Related Organizations
Keywords

690, Technology, Levelized cost of energy (LCoE), through-life cost analysis, Internal rate of return (IRR), benefit-cost ratio (BCR), TA116, Through-life cost analysis, TA168, Concentrated solar power (CSP), Discounted payback period (DPBP), Benefit-cost ratio (BCR), internal rate of return (IRR), concentrated solar power (CSP); through-life cost analysis; system advisor model (SAM); net present value (NPV); benefit-cost ratio (BCR); internal rate of return (IRR); discounted payback period (DPBP); levelized cost of energy (LCoE), Net Present Value (NPV), system advisor model (SAM), T, concentrated solar power (CSP), TA403, net present value (NPV), TJ

  • BIP!
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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    26
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
26
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
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