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Energies
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Energies
Article . 2023
Data sources: DOAJ
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Recent Trends in Real-Time Photovoltaic Prediction Systems

Authors: Isaac Gallardo; Daniel Amor; Álvaro Gutiérrez;

Recent Trends in Real-Time Photovoltaic Prediction Systems

Abstract

Photovoltaic power forecasting is an important problem for renewable energy integration in the grid. The purpose of this review is to analyze current methods to predict photovoltaic power or solar irradiance, with the aim of summarizing them, identifying gaps and trends, and providing an overview of what has been achieved in recent years. A search on Web of Science was performed, obtaining 60 articles published from 2020 onwards. These articles were analyzed, gathering information about the forecasting methods used, the horizon, time step, and parameters. The most used forecasting methods are machine learning and deep learning based, especially artificial neural networks. Most of the articles make predictions for one hour or less ahead and predict power instead of irradiance, although both parameters are strongly correlated, and output power depends on received irradiance. Finally, they use weather variables as inputs, consisting mainly of irradiance, temperature, wind speed and humidity. Overall, there is a lack of hardware implementations for real-time predictions, being an important line of development in future decades with the use of embedded prediction systems at the photovoltaic installations.

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Keywords

Technology, T, forecast, deep learning, forecasting, prediction, photovoltaic energy, machine learning

  • BIP!
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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    4
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold