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Energies
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Energies
Article . 2023
Data sources: DOAJ
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Cluster-Based Approach to Estimate Demand in the Polish Power System Using Commercial Customers’ Data

Authors: Tomasz Ząbkowski; Krzysztof Gajowniczek; Grzegorz Matejko; Jacek Brożyna; Grzegorz Mentel; Małgorzata Charytanowicz; Jolanta Jarnicka; +3 Authors

Cluster-Based Approach to Estimate Demand in the Polish Power System Using Commercial Customers’ Data

Abstract

This paper presents an approach to estimate demand in the Polish Power System (PPS) using the historical electricity usage of 27 thousand commercial customers, observed between 2016 and 2020. The customer data were clustered and samples as well as features were created to build neural network models. The goal of this research is to analyze if the clustering of customers can help to explain demand in the PPS. Additionally, considering that the datasets available for commercial customers are typically much smaller, it was analyzed what a minimal sample size drawn from the clusters would have to be in order to accurately estimate demand in the PPS. The evaluation and experiments were conducted for each year separately; the results proved that, considering adjusted R2 and mean absolute percentage error, our clustering-based method can deliver a high accuracy in the load estimation.

Keywords

Technology, T, commercial customers, neural networks, Polish Power System, demand model, energy usage, clustering

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
gold