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Energies
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Energies
Article . 2024
Data sources: DOAJ
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Forecasting of Residential Energy Utilisation Based on Regression Machine Learning Schemes

Authors: Thapelo Mosetlhe; Adedayo Ademola Yusuff;

Forecasting of Residential Energy Utilisation Based on Regression Machine Learning Schemes

Abstract

Energy utilisation in residential dwellings is stochastic and can worsen the issue of operational planning for energy provisioning. Additionally, planning with intermittent energy sources exacerbates the challenges posed by the uncertainties in energy utilisation. In this work, machine learning regression schemes (random forest and decision tree) are used to train a forecasting model. The model is based on a yearly dataset and its subset seasonal partitions. The dataset is first preprocessed to remove inconsistencies and outliers. The performance measures of mean absolute error (MAE), mean square error (MSE) and root mean square error (RMSE) are used to evaluate the accuracy of the model. The results show that the performance of the model can be enhanced with hyperparameter tuning. This is shown with an observed improvement of about 44% in accuracy after tuning the hyperparameters of the decision tree regressor. The results further show that the decision tree model can be more suitable for utilisation in forecasting the partitioned dataset.

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Keywords

energy forecasting, Technology, decision tree regression, energy planning, hyperparameter tuning, T, intermittent energy sources

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold
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Energy Research