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Short-Term Load Forecasting for Microgrids Based on Artificial Neural Networks

Authors: Hernández Callejo, Luis; Baladrón García, Carlos; Aguiar Pérez, Javier Manuel; Carro Martínez, Belén; Sánchez Esguevillas, Antonio Javier; Lloret, Jaime;

Short-Term Load Forecasting for Microgrids Based on Artificial Neural Networks

Abstract

Electricity is indispensable and of strategic importance to national economies. Consequently, electric utilities make an effort to balance power generation and demand in order to offer a good service at a competitive price. For this purpose, these utilities need electric load forecasts to be as accurate as possible. However, electric load depends on many factors (day of the week, month of the year, etc.), which makes load forecasting quite a complex process requiring something other than statistical methods. This study presents an electric load forecast architectural model based on an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) that performs Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF). In this study, we present the excellent results obtained, and highlight the simplicity of the proposed model. Load forecasting was performed in a geographic location of the size of a potential microgrid, as microgrids appear to be the future of electric power supply.

Country
Spain
Keywords

Artificial neural network, Technology, Microgrid, short-term load forecasting, Smart grid, Distributed intelligence, Multilayer perceptron, multilayer perceptron, smart grid, artificial neural network; distributed intelligence; short-term load forecasting; smart grid; microgrid; multilayer perceptron, distributed intelligence, T, INGENIERIA TELEMATICA, microgrid, Short-term electric load forecasting, ORGANIZACION DE EMPRESAS, artificial neural network, 33 Ciencias Tecnológicas, jel: jel:Q40, jel: jel:Q, jel: jel:Q43, jel: jel:Q42, jel: jel:Q41, jel: jel:Q48, jel: jel:Q47, jel: jel:Q49, jel: jel:Q0, jel: jel:Q4

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    Top 1%
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    visibility views 172
    download downloads 258
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
downloads
OpenAIRE UsageCountsDownloads provided by UsageCounts
133
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 1%
172
258
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