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Probabilistic Agent-Based Model of Electric Vehicle Charging Demand to Analyse the Impact on Distribution Networks

Authors: Pol Olivella-Rosell; Roberto Villafafila-Robles; Andreas Sumper; Joan Bergas-Jané;

Probabilistic Agent-Based Model of Electric Vehicle Charging Demand to Analyse the Impact on Distribution Networks

Abstract

Electric Vehicles (EVs) have seen significant growth in sales recently and it is not clear how power systems will support the charging of a great number of vehicles. This paper proposes a methodology which allows the aggregated EV charging demand to be determined. The methodology applied to obtain the model is based on an agent-based approach to calculate the EV charging demand in a certain area. This model simulates each EV driver to consider its EV model characteristics, mobility needs, and charging processes required to reach its destination. This methodology also permits to consider social and economic variables. Furthermore, the model is stochastic, in order to consider the random pattern of some variables. The model is applied to Barcelona’s (Spain) mobility pattern and uses the 37-node IEEE test feeder adapted to common distribution grid characteristics from Barcelona. The corresponding grid impact is analyzed in terms of voltage drop and four charging strategies are compared. The case study indicates that the variability in scenarios without control is relevant, but not in scenarios with control. Moreover, the voltages do not reach the minimum voltage allowed, but the MV/LV substations could exceed their capacities. Finally, it is determined that all EVs can charge during the valley without any negative effect on the distribution grid. In conclusion, it is determined that the methodology presented allows the EV charging demand to be calculated, considering different variables, to obtain better accuracy in the results.

Country
Spain
Keywords

Technology, Electric vehicles, load flow analysis, Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Energies::Energia elèctrica, coordinated charging, distribution network, electric vehicles charging; agent-based modelling and simulation; distribution network; coordinated charging; load flow analysis; stochastic modelling, electric vehicles charging, T, Electric power, :Energies::Energia elèctrica [Àrees temàtiques de la UPC], Vehicles elèctrics, stochastic modelling, agent-based modelling and simulation, jel: jel:Q40, jel: jel:Q, jel: jel:Q43, jel: jel:Q42, jel: jel:Q41, jel: jel:Q48, jel: jel:Q47, jel: jel:Q49, jel: jel:Q0, jel: jel:Q4

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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