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The Potential Impact of Climate Change on the Efficiency and Reliability of Solar, Hydro, and Wind Energy Sources

doi: 10.3390/land11081275
handle: 10261/287069
Climate change impacts the electric power system by affecting both the load and generation. It is paramount to understand this impact in the context of renewable energy as their market share has increased and will continue to grow. This study investigates the impact of climate change on the supply of renewable energy through applying novel metrics of intermittency, power production and storage required by the renewable energy plants as a function of historical climate data variability. Here we focus on and compare two disparate locations, Palma de Mallorca in the Balearic Islands and Cordova, Alaska. The main results of this analysis of wind, solar radiation and precipitation over the 1950–2020 period show that climate change impacts both the total supply available and its variability. Importantly, this impact is found to vary significantly with location. This analysis demonstrates the feasibility of a process to evaluate the local optimal mix of renewables, the changing needs for energy storage as well as the ability to evaluate the impact on grid reliability regarding both penetration of the increasing renewable resources and changes in the variability of the resource. This framework can be used to quantify the impact on both transmission grids and microgrids and can guide possible mitigation paths.
- Towson University United States
- Spanish National Research Council Spain
- University of Alaska Fairbanks, Geophysical Institute United States
- Carlos III University of Madrid Spain
- University of Alaska Fairbanks United States
climate variability, Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts, Renewable energy, Climate change, Geología, Power production, Climate variability, electrical power grid, Electrical power grid, S, Renewable energies, Física, //metadata.un.org/sdg/13 [http], Agriculture, renewable energy, hydropower, climate change, Solar power, Wind power, power production, Hydropower
climate variability, Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts, Renewable energy, Climate change, Geología, Power production, Climate variability, electrical power grid, Electrical power grid, S, Renewable energies, Física, //metadata.un.org/sdg/13 [http], Agriculture, renewable energy, hydropower, climate change, Solar power, Wind power, power production, Hydropower
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).8 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% visibility views 47 download downloads 29 - 47views29downloads
Data source Views Downloads Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad Carlos III de Madrid 14 7 DIGITAL.CSIC 33 22


