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Online Learning Algorithm for Time Series Forecasting Suitable for Low Cost Wireless Sensor Networks Nodes

pmid: 25905698
pmc: PMC4431195
Time series forecasting is an important predictive methodology which can be applied to a wide range of problems. Particularly, forecasting the indoor temperature permits an improved utilization of the HVAC (Heating, Ventilating and Air Conditioning) systems in a home and thus a better energy efficiency. With such purpose the paper describes how to implement an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithm in a low cost system-on-chip to develop an autonomous intelligent wireless sensor network. The present paper uses a Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN) to monitor and forecast the indoor temperature in a smart home, based on low resources and cost microcontroller technology as the 8051MCU. An on-line learning approach, based on Back-Propagation (BP) algorithm for ANNs, has been developed for real-time time series learning. It performs the model training with every new data that arrive to the system, without saving enormous quantities of data to create a historical database as usual, i.e., without previous knowledge. Consequently to validate the approach a simulation study through a Bayesian baseline model have been tested in order to compare with a database of a real application aiming to see the performance and accuracy. The core of the paper is a new algorithm, based on the BP one, which has been described in detail, and the challenge was how to implement a computational demanding algorithm in a simple architecture with very few hardware resources.
Networking and Internet Architecture (cs.NI), FOS: Computer and information sciences, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Chemical technology, TP1-1185, Systems and Control (eess.SY), Electrical Engineering and Systems Science - Systems and Control, Article, Machine Learning (cs.LG), Computer Science - Networking and Internet Architecture, ambient intelligence, FOS: Electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, on-line Back-Propagation, wireless sensor networks, artificial neural networks, energy efficiency
Networking and Internet Architecture (cs.NI), FOS: Computer and information sciences, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Chemical technology, TP1-1185, Systems and Control (eess.SY), Electrical Engineering and Systems Science - Systems and Control, Article, Machine Learning (cs.LG), Computer Science - Networking and Internet Architecture, ambient intelligence, FOS: Electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, on-line Back-Propagation, wireless sensor networks, artificial neural networks, energy efficiency
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